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S&P 500 Forecast: Stocks Struggle to Continue Momentum on Monday

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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This dip that we are seeing on Monday could very well be an opportunity to find value.

S&P 500 Consolidates as Markets Digest Higher Rates and Risk

The S&P 500 has gone back and forth during the trading session on Monday as we are a little overdone at this point, and I think a little of a pullback probably makes a certain amount of sense. That's especially true now that interest rates are rising again, as we're right around the 4.5% level on the 10-year yield.

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Ultimately, I think this is a market that if we do pull back from here, the 7500 level is a major floor in the market, as it had been a major resistance barrier. Over the longer term, I still plan on seeing the S&P 500 reach the 7700 level, and I do think that it's a market that can get there, but I also recognize that it may take some time.

S&P 500 Forecast 02/06: Faces Pullback as Rates Rise (Video)

Interest Rates and Geopolitical Noise

This market is going to be one that I think remains noisy. I think it does remain bullish overall, but I also recognize that it remains somewhat sensitive to the interest rates, as interest rates are jumping around due to a lot of different things. Not the least of which would be the fact that the noise in the Middle East continues to be a bit of a problem.

People don't really know what to do with it as the Iranians have now said they're shutting down the Strait of Hormuz, which will be opened by the US Navy eventually, and basically leading us towards more conflict. That does have a little bit of risk appetite coming out of the market.

But really, all of the same things that have been driving S&P 500, specifically artificial intelligence, probably continue to be a major driver as to where we go next. So, I think this dip, or potential dip at least, could be a nice buying opportunity.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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