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NASDAQ 100 Forecast: Can Dip Buyers Defend 28,000 as Overbought Risks Build?

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The NASDAQ 100 continues to see a lot of noisy trading, as there are a lot of concerns about the Middle east, interest rates, and the fact that we are in the middle of earnings season.

  • NASDAQ 100 showed a bit of positivity during the trading session on Wednesday as we continued to consolidate after the big move to the upside.

  • We sold off to start out the day but then turned around to rally and it suggests that we are in fact in a situation where traders continue to come in and buy the dip.

Buying the dip, I think, is the way going forward and as long as we can find buyers to come into the Nasdaq 100 market and support it I think downside momentum is somewhat limited. The 28,000 level is an area that I think will be a large round psychologically significant figure and an area where a lot of people will be watching.

Market Outlook and Strategy

Nasdaq 100 Forecast Today 14/05: Overbought (Chart)

Anything below there then gets a little uglier, but I think really some sideways action here makes a lot of sense as the NASDAQ 100 has truly launched over the last 6 months or so. And with that I think you have to look at the market as one that is trying to figure out its longer-term move and while I do believe it will be positive and to the upside but I also recognize that you need to attract new buyers and one of the easiest ways to do that is to either go sideways and get quiet for a while to work off the froth or to pull back in order to offer cheaper contracts.

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Either way I think a little bit of patience probably goes a long way here and I do think that the buyers will eventually win out. However, we need to be cautious along the way, and not jump in right away.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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