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Domino’s Pizza (NASDAQ:DPZ) Stock Signal: What’s Next Following an Earnings Miss with Margin Resilience?

By Adam Lemon
Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked with...

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Long Trade Idea

Enter your long position between $328.74 (the lower band of its horizontal support zone) and $344.01 (yesterday’s intra-day high).

Market Index Analysis

  • DPZ Corporation (NASDAQ:DPZ) is a member of the S&P 500 Index.

  • This index continues to record fresh all-time highs amid lower trading volumes.

  • The Bull Bear Power Indicator for the S&P 500 Index is bullish with a negative divergence.

Market Sentiment Analysis

Equity futures trade mixed after the record-setting rally in the S&P 500 Index and the NASDAQ 100 Index continues despite mounting concerns, once again driven by AI-related developments. OpenAI’s revenue miss served as the latest warning. US President Trump discussed Iran’s peace proposal with top aides but has not yet announced a decision. Earnings season will continue to offer catalysts.

DPZ Corporation Fundamental Analysis

Domino’s Pizza is the world’s largest pizza chain, with over 21,000 locations across 83 countries and over 5,700 cities. It is well known for its 30-minute-or-less delivery promise.

So, why am I bullish on DPZ despite its earnings miss?

DPZ reported revenues of $1.15 billion and earnings per share of $4.13, missing expectations of $1.16 billion and $4.27, respectively. Still, I remain bullish amid margin resilience despite a challenging consumer backdrop, while revenues rose 3.5% year-over-year. It added another $1 billion to its share repurchase program, hiked its dividend by 15% to $1.99 per share. I am also bullish on its product innovation, such as CHICK 'N' DIP and Italianos thin-crust pizzas, which are excellent drivers for the underpenetrated third-party app segment.

Metric
Value
Verdict
P/E Ratio
19.30
Bullish
P/B Ratio
Negative
Bearish
PEG Ratio
1.51
Bullish
Current Ratio
1.60
Bearish
ROIC-WACC Ratio
Positive
Bullish

DPZ Corporation Fundamental Analysis Snapshot

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.30 makes DPZ an inexpensive stock. By comparison, the P/E ratio for the S&P 500 Index is 25.79.

The average analyst price target for DPZ is $458.29. This suggests excellent upside potential with decreasing downside risk.

DPZ Corporation Technical Analysis

Today’s DPZ Signal

DPZ042826

DPZ Corporation Price Chart

  • The DPZ D1 chart shows price action forming a new horizontal support zone.

  • It also shows price action between its descending 0.0% and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Fan levels.

  • The Bull Bear Power Indicator plunged into unsustainable bearish conditions below its ascending trendline.

  • The average bearish trading volumes are higher than the average bullish trading volumes, hinting at more short-term volatility.

  • DPZ dropped as the S&P 500 Index recorded a fresh all-time high, a bearish confirmation, but bullish catalysts are rising.

My DPZ Long Stock Trade

  • DPZ Entry Level: Between $328.74 and $344.01

  • DPZ Take Profit: Between $403.48 and $416.59

  • DPZ Stop Loss: Between $292.91 and $299.50

  • Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.09

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Chief Analyst and Director of Content

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

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