The EUR/USD fell during the session on Monday, as you can see on the chart attached. However, you can also see that the market bounced off of the 200 day exponential moving average as well. This is kind of ironic, considering the fact that the market has sliced through this moving avere quite often recently, that it would even bothered to acknowledge it.
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The WTI Crude market tried to rally during the session on Monday, and while he did managed to break above the $97.00 level at one point in time, and you can see that the market got pushed back down. As a result, this candle that formed for the Monday session is indeed a shooting star, and does look very bullish at this point in time.
The AUD/USD pair fell during the session on Monday, bouncing just above the 1.02 support level yet again. That being the case, it appears that this market is going to continue to grind sideways, as the 1.02 level has been massively supportive. This support has been there for roughly 18 months, and as a result I think that this pair will continue to struggle to get below this area.
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The USD/JPY pair did almost nothing during the Monday session, but quite frankly most markets around the world were real snoozers at best. Because of this, there isn't a whole lot that can be disseminated as far as information is concerned from the Monday session. However, looking at this chart it is obvious that the 100 area still looms large as resistance.
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The EUR/USD pair continued to chop around during the Friday session, in response to the better than expected Non-Farm Payroll number out of the United States. Because of this number, there will now be a “risk on” attitude in the short-term, and I believe that this pair will be pushed and pulled quite a bit going forward.
Last week, ECB's Governing Council did reduce refinancing rates from 0.75% to 0.5% while deposit rates remain untouched at 0.0%. However, ECB President Mario Draghi left room for negative rates by saying "we stand ready to act if needed."
The AUD/USD pair had a great showing on Friday in reaction to the stronger than expected Non-Farm Payroll report out of the United States. This had the market bullish in general, and the Aussie is one of the Forex community’s favorite ways to play the “risk on” attitude of the markets.
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Gold prices settled slightly higher last week but the 1486 level continues to be hurdle for the bulls. This level had been a strong support level back in 2011, right before the precious metal started a rally to 1920.
The WTI Crude market had a great showing on Friday in reaction to the better than expected Non-Farm Payroll number in America. This lead to a bullish rally in almost all markets, with the US indices and the commodity markets being especially strong
The USD/CHF spent Friday much like it's causing the EUR/USD, trying to decide if it should go up, or down...or sideways. As a result, it finished the day with a total range of about 100 pips, but closed less than 5 pips from where it began the day.
The GBP/CHF pair initially pulled back during the Friday session, but as you can see bounced back significantly in order to form a hammer. This hammer suggests that the pair is ready to continue higher, and this makes complete sense as the British pound continues to show strength overall, perhaps as a reconsideration of the British economy on the whole as it has avoided a “triple dip recession.
This pair continues to grind around in a relatively tight pattern. It is because of this that I feel that this market cannot be traded for anything more than a short-term trade. As such, the weekly forecast will remain choppy at best, and directionless. In order to break out in either direction, the 1.3250 level needs to be overcome on a daily close, or a move below the 1.29 level will have to happen. Until then, expect this to be a scalper’s market.
The XAU/USD pair is trading in the middle of the 23.6 and 38.2 Fibonacci retracement levels based on the bearish run from 1795.75 to 1321.52. Prices have been trapped within a relatively tight range for the last 6 days as the pair continued to meet sellers around the 1486 level and buyers came in at the 1444 level.