Forex Daily Forecast, Analysis and Prediction

The most liquid currency pair, the EUR-USD, has been sending many mixed signals lately. After reaching a high of 1.3330, this pair pulled back to 1.2600.

Just like the other currencies, the Canadian Dollar has sold off considerably against the Japanese Yen lately

Recently, currencies have been subjected to a series of wild swings in public sentiment. Seemingly, every few days the perception switches from a “flight to safety” to a “pursuit of risk”. One of the best examples of this wavering opinion is the AUD-JPY.

So far this week, the Japanese Yen, and all its crosses have been very volatile. They sold off significantly for 2 days following the emergency Bank of Japan policy meeting and recovered to some degree on Wednesday. This recovery ran into a stiff resistance though, and currently the JPY pairs are in a “no man’s land” of sorts – a holding pattern.

Over last few months, the USD/CAD has been moving sideways. It has not made any meaningful high or low since late May, when it reached 1.0852. Since then, the price oscillated in a range between 1.0680 and 1.0105.

The AUD/USD is still in an uptrend, as judged on basis of technical analysis. The price is above the 100 SMA and the up trendline, too. Last week, this pair rebounded from a conjunction of both of these lines, finding a support at 0.8770.

So far in 2010, the GBP/CHF has remained in wide trading range, between 1.5785 and 1.7105. This is best visible on weekly charts and gives this pair an appearance of non-action. However, this congestion zone is wide enough for trading opportunities on smaller time frame charts, including the daily graph.

One of the currency pair that has been lacking significant attention recently is the EUR/GBP. That could change soon.

Finally, after couple of weeks of trying, the USD/JPY broke through the 84.70 support and made new 15 year low. It dropped 83.58 before a correction set in.

On Tuesday, the Japanese Yen experienced a strong rally. All of JPY pairs broke through important supports and moved anywhere from 100 to 300 pips. During the New York session, this move ended and new supports were formed.

Since early July, the NZD/USD has been drifting lower, a move that gained momentum couple of weeks ago, and undercut the minor low of 0.7027. The price found support at 0.6996.

Fears of renewed quantitative easing made money flow into the Japanese Yen and the US Dollars, seen as “safe havens”. Largely unheralded, the Swiss Franc also became the beneficiary of this new risk aversion.

The Japanese Yen has been getting a lot of press lately. It has been getting stronger, undercutting the 84.80 low from last against the US Dollar and dropping to the lowest level for USD-JPY in 15 years, if only briefly.

Cable has been trending up again since beginning of June this year after a sharp fall from 1.5400 region to the impressive bottom reached around 1.4280.

The Australian Dollar has resided in the realm of uncertainty over the last few weeks. Even though the Aussie’s fundamentals are positive, the currency has been responding unfavorably to other international news.