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EUR/CHF Forecast: Rate Differentials Keep Euro Supported

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The euro continues to grind higher against the lowly Swiss franc, as we are looking at a carry trade pair, with the Swiss National Bank sticking to the 0% interest rate policy, despite recently improving Swiss numbers.

EUR/CHF

The euro has rallied a bit during the early part of the trading session on Friday as we continue to see interest rate differentials play out in favor of the euro. This is a longer-term play that a lot of traders like to use to take advantage of risk appetite and growth opportunities.

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Keep in mind that the Swiss National Bank is hanging on to a 0% interest rate situation, and with this, markets continue to favor shorting the Swiss franc in general. The 0.94 level underneath is significant support, as we have previously seen resistance.

If we can break above there, then 0.9640 could be a target

Ultimately, this is a market that looks as if it is trying to break out from here, as we have cleared the 0.94 level. With this, I look at the market as one that I am buying on dips.

EUR/CHF Forecast 14/9: Rate Differentials Keep EUR Supported

The interest rate differential alone makes it interesting, and of course, the Europeans are starting to sound more and more likely to be in a situation where they are possibly looking to hike later. We will just have to wait and see whether or not the ECB could continue to see hawkish behavior and is willing to raise rates overall.

Meanwhile, the Swiss, despite the fact that they have higher inflation and GDP numbers this last go-around, still maintain that 0% interest rate differential. Of course, you have the trend in your favor. Looking for value remains the case as far as I can see. I have no interest whatsoever in shorting this pair, as it is far too strong.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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