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AUD/CHF Forecast: Buyers Eye Breakout as Rate Spread Favors Aussie

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The Australian dollar has rallied again during the trading session on Wednesday as we are trying to continue with the overall carry trade.

AUD/CHF

The Australian dollar has rallied again during the trading session on Wednesday as we are reaching that swing high again near the 0.5775 level.

Ultimately, this is a market that is continuing to play the interest rate differential as Australia actually has interest rates and, of course, Switzerland does not, at least it's basically 0%. The Swiss National Bank wishes to keep its interest rates low and as close to zero as possible and has been very vocal about it.

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So, with that, it's not a huge surprise to see that the Australian dollar has been taking advantage of that. You get paid to hang on to this trade at the end of every day, so short-term pullbacks look like buying opportunities to me.

Carry Trade and Support Levels

Full disclosure, I am not long of this AUD/CHF pair mainly because I am short of the Swiss franc in other pairs. So, I don't want to overexpose my shorts to the franc. But right now, this certainly looks bullish at the moment, and from a longer-term perspective as well.

AUD/CHF Forecast 27/08: Buyers Eye Breakout (Video)

The 0.5680 level is support with the 50-day EMA right there as well, so that also helps. And again, the carry trade is very much alive in other pairs, and as long as that's the case, this pair will continue to be bullish, all things being equal.

If we get sudden concern around the world again, we may get a bit of a pullback, but this has been a nice, pretty much steady and reliable grind higher since November of last year. And now we are on the verge of breaking yet another barrier in this pair, as it grinds higher again.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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