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AUD/NZD Forecast: Bounces as 1.1950 Support Holds

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The Australian dollar has bounced slightly against the Kiwi dollar during the early part of the Monday session to defend the 1.1950 level.

AUD/NZD Forecast 21/07: Bounces as 1.1950 Support Holds

AUD/NZD

The Australian dollar has bounced slightly against the Kiwi dollar during the early part of the Monday session to defend the 1.1950 level. This is an area that has been important multiple times, so it does make a certain amount of sense that it is a market that will eventually try to do everything it can to stay somewhat afloat.

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The market had previously been in a major uptrend, but recently, we have seen New Zealand become a little bit tighter with its monetary policy, and that, of course, has had a major influence on how things behave. With this being the case, I look at this market as one that remains noisy. I look at this as a market that remains volatile, but I also think that we are just trying to work off some of the massive uptrend that we had seen for a while. After all, even if New Zealand continues to tighten monetary policy, most traders will look for the Australians to do the same thing, and eventually this will level itself out.

Technical Support and Future Outlook

The 200-day EMA is at the 1.1850 region, so as long as we stay above there, technically speaking at least, we are still very much in an uptrend and a lot of longer-term traders will look at it as such.

If we can break above the 1.22 level to the upside, that kicks off the next potential leg higher, but right now, I think the market is probably more likely than not going to be comfortable just grinding back and forth, working off some of the froth. The bounce on Monday does suggest at least that the support is going to continue to offer a little bit of a floor.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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