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Silver Forecast: Buyers Defend Support as Lower Rates Spark a Bounce

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The silver market initially fell during the early part of the trading session on Thursday, as we had initially fell pretty significantly only to turn around and show signs of life.

  • All things being equal, the market is looking very much like it's going to try to form a hammer for the day, which is a positive sign, and it's worth noting that we had dipped below support but then turned around to show signs of life.

That tells me that there is plenty of demand underneath. Interest rates dropping later in the day have certainly helped, and I think that this market keeps in a very similar pattern than we've seen for a while in the sense that traders are looking at this through the prism of an interest rate situation.

Interest Rates and Geopolitical Influence

XAG/USD Forecast oday 29/05: Buyers Return (Chart)

As rates drop, it does help the silver market as it's a non-yielding asset, but rates, unfortunately, are being held hostage by the Middle East and all of the things are going on there. The fact that we just don't have any real clarity, I think, will continue to keep silver somewhat tight.

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So, despite the fact that we have rallied after selling, I think we have to understand that there's probably somewhat limited upside. It would not surprise me at all to stay in a range between $70 on the bottom and $80 on the top. If we can break the $80 level, that would obviously be extraordinarily positive, but right now, I'm not looking for that. I'm just looking for a return to the 50-day EMA, which seems like a magnet for price.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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