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GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sitting on a Support Level

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The British pound initially fell during trading on Thursday but has turned around to show signs of life again.

  • By doing so, it looks like the 1.35 level will continue to be important and an area that I think a lot of people will be watching very closely.

With that being the situation, I like the idea of buying dips as long as we can get some type of softening of interest rates. They did soften a bit later in the day, but the question is, can we really get momentum to the downside?

To the upside in the interest rate markets, if we were to break above 4.32, I think that really puts a lot of pressure on the pound. But we're sitting on such massive support anyway and in an area that the markets recognize as previous resistance that I really don't see this as a scenario that should be causing a lot of trouble to the GBP/USD pair.

Geopolitical Factors and Support Levels

GBP/USD Forecast 24/04: Buyers Return (Chart)

With this, I like the upside, but I also know that we need to see good news particularly outside of the Middle East because it will drive interest rates lower in America, and people will probably step away from the dollar. You can see that we've been trying to do it for weeks, but the nonstop confusion out of that part of the world continues to work against any type of actual flowing trend.

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I don't necessarily like shorting this particular pair. If the US dollar starts to strengthen, then I'll probably short other currencies against it like the New Zealand dollar, maybe the Japanese yen, definitely the Swiss franc. The British pound itself is relatively strong due to a stubbornly tight central bank in London.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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