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Silver Forecast: Silver Continues to Struggle with Choppiness

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The silver market continues to see a lot of noise, as the risk appetite continues to see a lot of wild swings. In this environment, expect a lot of volatile moves.

The silver market was very noisy during the trading session on Thursday as we continued to see a lot of volatility. The $90 above is I think a ceiling at the moment, and it is worth noting that silver is not necessarily a safety asset. If we were to break above the $90 level, then it opens up the possibility of a move to the $95 level, possibly even the $100 level.

Support Levels and Future Market Trends

Silver Forecast Today 13/03: Eyes $90 Ceiling (Chart)

Short-term pullbacks I think still offer support near the 50-day EMA and the $80 level. I do think that probably comes into play. Silver is a very volatile market and at this point in time volatility can be found anywhere, quite frankly. So I think buying the dip probably still works, but you need to do so with a very small position size because quite frankly we could get something across the headlines that just rocks the market in either direction.

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Silver of course is a smaller contract volume-wise than gold, so it does have a stronger move via panic. Ultimately, though, I think this is a situation where we are still in a buy on the dip scenario despite the fact that we got a complete collapse several weeks ago. Ultimately, I do think we eventually see silver test that is $100 level, but that could be weeks maybe even months down the road. If we were to break down below the $70 level, that would change the entire trend, and we'd probably could collapse towards the $50 level. I don't see that happening at this point, but it is something to keep in the back of your mind.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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