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Silver Price Analysis – Silver Gets Hammered as Rates Jump

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • Silver has gotten hit hard on Thursday as the ten-year yield in America jumped above 4.30% at one point.

Silver has gotten absolutely crushed during trading on Thursday dropping well over 11% at one point as we violated the crucial $70 level. It is worth noting that I have seen the interest rates in America skyrocket and if that is going to continue to be a persistent thing, that will be a very big problem for silver. Silver of course is highly sensitive to interest rates and by extension the US dollar, so we will have to watch that story.

I suspect the best way to deal with silver during the session is probably going to be waiting to see whether or not we can close above the $70 level. If we can, and the 10-year yield stays well below the 4.3% level, then you might have a shot at silver bouncing a bit.

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I would categorize this as maybe testing the bottom of a larger consolidation area. I wouldn't look at it as a sign that gives you the all clear that silver is suddenly going to race higher, but it does seem somewhat resilient all things considered.

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If the interest rates in America continue to climb, I don't see any reason why silver doesn't touch the 200-day EMA, possibly even the $50 level by the time it is all said and done. We are in a massive state of flux. Interest rates need to be held under control; if they are not, then the metals get whacked first. Even if there is a geopolitical problem—and let's face it, there probably will be, silver won't be the answer, it will be gold, so keep an eye on that as well. I am looking to buy the dip assuming there is a reason to.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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