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USD/CHF Forecast: US Dollar Testing Major Level Against Swissy

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The US dollar has gone back and forth against the Swiss franc during the session on Thursday, but at this point, cannot break above the 0.79 level.

USD/CHF Forecast Today 06/02: Testing Major Level (Chart)

The US dollar has gone back and forth against the Swiss franc during the trading session on Thursday as we sit just below the 0.78 level. The 0.78 level has been both support and resistance multiple times over the last couple of weeks and as a result, I think we are on the precipice of making a bigger move, but the question of course will be whether or not we continue the downtrend or if we turn around and rally to head back into consolidation.

Keep in mind that the Swiss National Bank is very concerned about the strengthening Swiss franc and is jawboning the Swiss franc back down. We’ll have to wait and see whether or not they actually do anything and it’s probably likely that we will see the Swiss make their decision on whether or not to intervene based on the Euro against the franc, not necessarily the US dollar. But having said that, it does have an influence on Swiss exports globally.

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Central Bank Influence and Strategy

So, with all of that, I think you need to watch whether or not the Swiss National Bank continues to get irritated by this and eventually turn the market around. I do think that collecting swap at the end of every day is still a way you can play this market, but it’s also in the process of trying to find its floor. We had consolidated for several months, and I had done that exact trade for a while and I’m looking to get involved in it again.

If we break down from here the 0.76 level could be a bit of a floor and a potential target for a short sale, but really at this point in time, I still prefer the upside. I just need to see either momentum breaking above the 0.78 level or some type of pullback and a bounce that I can start buying the right-hand side of the V if and when it occurs.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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