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AUD/USD Forecast: Australian Dollar Drops to Find Buyers

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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The Australian dollar drifted a bit lower on Tuesday, as traders are trying to find buyers at lower levels. Ultimately, this is a currency that will outperform many of the other G-10 currencies against the USD.

AUD/USD

The Australian dollar drifted a bit during the early part of the trading session on Tuesday but looks as if it is trying to turn things around and bounce a bit. It’s one of the strongest G10 performers against the US dollar today, despite the fact that it has fallen off in the risk-off mood in equities and other markets.

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The market is one that I follow quite closely these days because the Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to tighten interest rates and I think that continues to be the main story here, with this market looking very much like one that is going to buck the trend as it were. I watch to see if it starts to fall apart. This isn’t necessarily a reason that I would start selling, but what I think it would do is signify that perhaps if this pair falls, the US dollar should strengthen quite drastically against other currencies.

Technical Support and Outlook

From a technical analysis standpoint, I’m looking at the 0.6950 level and the 0.69 level both as support. As long as we stay above there, this remains a short-term buy on the dip opportunity, and I think the Australian dollar will do what it can to get to the 0.72 level eventually.

It’s probably going to be very choppy and noisy, but ultimately this is a market that I think still has more of an upward bias than anything else at the moment. Even if this market falls apart like I said, I wouldn’t be selling the Australian dollar; I’d be selling other currencies against the US dollar.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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