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AUD/USD Forecast: Australian Dollar Continues to See Volatility

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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The Aussie continues to see a lot of noise, but at this point, we have a lot of questions about the market overall.

AUD/USD

The Australian dollar has seen a bit of weakness and as a result it looks like we are going to stay within the same consolidation area that we have been in for a while with the 0.69 level on the bottom and the 0.71 level at the top.

The market continues to be very noisy but I think overall this is a currency pair that is a little bit different than many of the other ones as although the US dollar is considered to be weak and the Federal Reserve likely to cut rates the Australian dollar is backed up by the Reserve Bank of Australia who is likely to raise rates later.

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Furthermore, the Chinese economy is showing signs of strength in manufacturing but at the same time so is the US economy so perhaps this ends up being a global scenario where manufacturing picks up in a couple of the bigger economies such as the United States and China.

Technical Floors and Upside Targets

The market breaking below the 0.69 level could be a significant floor and if we were to break down below there then it could open up the possibility of a move down to the 50-day EMA which is near the 0.6750 level.

If we break above the 0.71 level, then it's likely that traders will continue to push the Aussie dollar towards the 0.72 level possibly even higher than that.

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I would expect some choppy behavior but truthfully if I wanted to buy the US dollar right now, I think you have a situation where although it might work in the case of the Aussie dollar there will be easier currencies to play against the US dollar going forward.

Ready to trade our AUD/USD Forex forecast? Here’s a list of some of the best Australian forex brokers to check out.

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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