At this time last week the USD/BRL was near the 5.3300 ratio, and as of yesterday’s close the currency pair is near a ratio of 5.1847. As the USD/BRL awaits to open today, traders need to understand the USD has sold off against other major currencies again this morning with additional velocity throughout Asia and upon London’s session beginning.
The USD/BRL is correlating to the broad Forex market well and day traders should anticipate a volatile opening in the currency pair. Given the fact the USD has seen weakness across the board, the USD/BRL is likely to produce a gap lower initially which would be a reaction to the selling being seen now. However, retail speculators who do not have deep pockets might want to monitor the USD/BRL for the first fifteen minutes upon the currency pair’s opening to get a feel for where sentiment is heading.
Seismic Moves in Forex Yesterday and Today
The price velocity in the USD the past day has been dramatic. Many major currencies are traversing stronger values against the USD not seen in quite a while. The USD/BRL as of yesterday’s close is near value it last saw in May 2024. The USD/BRL was trading near 5.0000 on the 1st of April in 2024. The sudden and fast downturn in the USD has surprised many traders, but speculators need to understand these lower values have been seen before.
Top Regulated Brokers
Yes, the velocity of the selloff is rather surprising, particularly considering that volatility of this magnitude has been lacking in the broad Forex markets for a couple of years. The sudden downturn of the USD may have day traders dreaming of big winnings, but they are urged to keep risk management tactically strong and not to become overly ambitious. If USD/BRL traders have been pursuing lower values and profited that is fantastic, but they need to remain calm and be mindful of potential reversals.
Federal Reserve Today and Near-Term Temptations
The Federal Reserve will be making its FOMC decision public later today and no change to the Federal Funds Rate is expected. However, financial institutions believe the Fed over the mid-term may be able to become more dovish via a change of leadership.
- The dramatic move lower in the USD/BRL needs to be looked at as part of shifting sentiment among large financial institutions.
- And it appears that the U.S – particularly via the Trump White House – is not overly concerned about the USD losing value the past few days.
- Perhaps the Trump administration plans on the USD being weaker as part of their economic strategy to encourage U.S exports?
- Day traders pursuing the USD/BRL today need to be careful and not get caught up in wishful thinking, meaning they should keep their price targets realistic.
Brazilian Real Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 5.2050
Current Support: 5.1660
High Target: 5.2480
Low Target: 5.1160
Want to trade our daily forex analysis and predictions? Here are the best brokers in Brazil to check out.