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Silver Forecast: Will Silver Be Able to Stay Above $80?

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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The silver market was noisy on Friday, as the markets waited for the Non-Farm Payroll numbers. At this point, the uptrend continues

The silver market was all over the place during the trading session on Friday, which wouldn't be a huge surprise considering that it was non-farm payroll Friday and a lot of traders will have been in and out of the market quite a bit.

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The $80 level is a large round number that I think continues to offer resistance all the way to the $82 level, and we did find that resistance during the day despite the fact that the non-farm payroll announcement came out weaker than anticipated. In this environment, I think you've got a situation where you have to look at this as a buy on the dip scenario.

Silver Forecast 12/01: Stay Above $80? (graph)

Technical Levels and Long-Term Targets

I also look at it as a market that is in a $12 range. The $70 level right now continues to be a floor in the market, with roughly $82 being the ceiling. Ultimately, this looks like a market that is ready to go higher, and as crazy as it sounds, I think that's the only play here. This is a market that has run much farther than any analyst that I know of, with the exception of a few wild calls out there, has said it would, and now $100 is only 25% from here. While that's a lot, it could happen this year.

If we give up $70 and start following the downtrend from there, we probably go looking to the 50-day EMA right around $62.90, and then after that, $50. Sooner or later, this massive bubble pops. The question is, where's the floor in silver after all of this? We don't know, but it's not going to be $12 like it was the last time we had a major run-up. It will be interesting to see how this plays out. As things stand right now, dips continue to be buying opportunities.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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