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NZD/USD Analysis: Higher Realm Creates Action and Becomes Sustained

By Robert Petrucci

Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services....

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The NZD/USD is near the 0.60700 mark as of this writing with lightning quick changes of value being seen and a wide spread that speculators will have to treat with care.

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The NZD/USD jumped wildly over the past handful of days. Last Tuesday the NZD/USD was trading near the 0.58300 vicinity, as of this writing the currency pair is around the 0.60700 realm with very fast conditions confronting day traders. Confronting is the key element of story for speculators at this juncture with the NZD/USD, which is correlating to the broad Forex market in the wake of widespread USD centric weakness.

The jump higher in the NZD/USD isn’t a stand-alone. The New Zealand Dollar didn’t accomplish anything great on its own which has sparked the onslaught of buying in the NZD/USD. And because of this fact, traders of the currency pair should be wary of sudden considerations building inside of financial institutions that the buying might overdone.

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Weakness of the USD in the Near-Term

While it has been easy to say the NZD/USD has been oversold over the long-term and that sentiment around the New Zealand Dollar has obviously been poor, the sudden buying spree of the currency pair has not exactly been a vote in favor of the NZD. The USD has been weak across the board and day traders should ask themselves how long this will last?

The selling of the USD against other major currencies peaked yesterday and slight reversals have started to be seen. Traders should not bet blindly against the USD. Yes, the downturn in the USD may continue, but the vast volatility seen in the likes of the NZD/USD are not likely to persist with the type of volatility demonstrated the past few days. Yes, the NZD/USD is a notoriously volatile currency pair in Forex, but its speculative force may lessen over the remainder of today and into tomorrow.

The 0.61000 Mark Looks High for the NZD/USD

Day traders who have been anticipating a jump higher in the NZD/USD have been rewarded certainly the past week. Looking for higher price action may also feel appropriate, but treated cautiously.

  • The last time the NZD/USD was within these heights was in July of 2025.
  • And this is where it gets interesting, the NZD/USD has been within the clutches of a long-term bearish trend, its sudden burst higher is potentially important.
  • But is the buying of the NZD/USD warranted, and if it is - does that mean technically the currency pair has a lot of room to move higher.
  • Other major currencies are within values bands versus the USD that have not been seen in a couple of years and longer, the NZD/USD is merely within a realm seen only half a year ago.

NZD/USD Short Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 0.60800

Current Support: 0.60600

High Target: 0.61100

Low Target: 0.60100

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Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

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