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Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Continues to Build Tradable Range

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The light sweet crude oil market has found itself struggling on Thursday, but at this point in time, the markets look like they are trying to form a nice tradable range.

The light sweet crude oil market has found itself struggling a bit during the trading session here on Thursday as we bounce around the $60 level. The 50-day EMA sits just below, and I think ultimately offers a little bit of a short-term floor.

If you watched my analysis over the last couple of days, I have suggested that perhaps the light sweet crude oil market—and if you have seen me talk about Brent, I think is the same situation—where we are just trying to find consolidation, some type of range from which to trade, and therefore we will eventually just settle in.

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Barriers and Support

Crude Oil Forecast Today 23/01: Tradable Range (Chart)

Right now, I think we're in the process of that, and it looks to me like the $62 level above is a bit of a barrier, while the 50-day EMA and the previous uptrend line both offer support. That is cumulatively right around $58.50. This is an area that has been important recently and should continue to be so.

Crude oil does like these ranges, and despite the fact that there is a serious glut of crude oil around the world, it's probably worth noting that the $55 level was in fact defended. That is a massive level going back multiple years, so it was a little too cheap.

I don't know that it's going to get wildly expensive from here unless there's some type of action in the Middle East, for example. As things stand, I think this is a sideways range-bound market. If you're a short-term trader, you have a couple of obvious areas here that you can play off of in both directions.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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