- Short-term pullbacks are buying opportunities as we wait for value to appear in this pair.
AUDJPY
The Australian dollar spent the first part of the session on Friday rallying against the Japanese yen and even piercing the 105 yen level yet again. That being said, this is a market that continues to see a lot of noise above there, and it should be no surprise that we have, in fact, turned right back around after that move.
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All things being equal, this is a market that I still believe in the upside, and it is worth noting that you get paid to hold onto it at the end of every session. We've been in an uptrend for a while, and despite the fact that we have flipped the calendar into 2026, I don't think anything has truly changed.
Market Outlook and Key Support Levels
Short-term pullbacks are buying opportunities as we wait for some type of value. Keep in mind that the Japanese yen is considered to be a safety currency, and the Australian dollar, of course, is considered to be more of a risk-on commodity type of currency.
The 104 yen level should continue to be support and with that being said, I think we have a buy on the dip scenario. The 50-day EMA is all the way down at the 102.26 yen level and rising, so I think that is also dynamic support.
To the upside, if we can finally clear the 105 yen level, it's likely that we go much higher, perhaps looking to the 107 yen level based on a measured move of the recent consolidation. Keep in mind that the Bank of Japan did recently raise rates, but they can only tighten monetary policy so much as the debt level in Japan is dire, to say the least. With that being the case, I look at this as a market that should continue to pay you over time if you hold it to the long side. I've got no interest in getting short, unless of course we get some type of external factor.
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