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BTC/USD Forecast: Faces Selling Pressure

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • I anticipate that probably ends up being the case for the short term; after all, we are getting close to the end of the year, and there are still a lot of questions about where we go next.
  • Bitcoin initially tried to rally during the trading session on Friday, but as we have seen far too many times recently, the buyers just could not keep the market supported.
  • All things being equal, this is a market that I think continues to see a lot of choppy behavior.
  • A lack of volume is also going to be a bit of a problem in this environment, as we are between Christmas and New Year's Day, but we have also seen the market just absolutely crater over the last several months, and it seems like the sentiment for Bitcoin has been horrible.

BTC/USD Forecast 29/12: Faces Selling Pressure (Chart)

Institutional Traders and Support Levels

If that continues to be the case, one would have to wonder when the average trader comes back in, but I would suggest this: I suggest that perhaps part of the recovery will be if and when institutional traders come back, and if that is going to be the case, you are probably looking sometime in January. In the meantime, a lot of traders will be going back and forth, maybe accumulating for the next big push higher. We will just have to wait and see.

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I also recognize that this is a market that, if we were to break down below the $80,000 level, we could see Bitcoin fall apart. I don't think that is an immediate threat, but I think that if it were to happen, you would probably see a bit of a snowball effect, where traders will continue to short.

In that environment, we could very well see Bitcoin drop all the way down to the $65,000 level, just as a break above the $94,000 level could open up the possibility of an attempt to get to the $100,000 level. In the short term, though, I think it is more back-and-forth grinding than anything.

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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