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BTC/USD Forecast: Build a Consolidation Pattern

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • Bitcoin continues to see a lot of back-and-forth trading on Wednesday, as we are trying to build a consolidation area.
  • Bitcoin continues to look very noisy during the Wednesday session, as Christmas Eve trading will be a little thin.
  • But at the end of the day, you have to keep in mind that Bitcoin is different than most other markets because we could get a big move on Christmas, mainly due to some type of external factor and low liquidity combining.

BTC/USD Forecast 26/12: Consolidation Pattern (Chart)

We will have to wait and see how this plays out, but as things look right now, I think Bitcoin is one of your more interesting markets because a lot of the froth has been taken out of it. But when you look at the history of Bitcoin, it does this kind of thing quite often.

Market Outlook and Key Support Levels

At the moment, it looks like we are trying to figure out whether or not we are consolidating or if we are getting ready to make the next move lower. Consolidation or, perhaps I should say accumulation, is what I suspect we are doing, but we will have to wait and see. It certainly looks like a market that is struggling to hang on to any type of upward momentum.

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But if we were to break above the $94,000 level, then I think you have got a real shot at this market going to the $100,000 level and probably even beyond there. If we were to break down below the $80,000 level, then it is possible that we could go down all the way to the $68,000 level.

One thing is for sure: there is not a lot of momentum in this market, and therefore, if you are a longer-term trader, you are probably accumulating in this messy behavior. Institutions, of course, won't be involved as much, mainly due to the holidays, so we will have to see what the retail traders can do. With all that being said, I am cautiously optimistic, but $80,000 for me at least is a red line.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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