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USD/JPY Forecast:US Dollar Resumes Bullish Run Against Yen

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • You can see that we have gapped higher to kick off the trading week on Monday as you would expect now that the bat between the Americans and the Chinese might be over. We just don't know. We've actually seen a calming of tensions from both sides.
  • So that's a good sign. I think basically, what you have here is a continuation of what we’ve seen. And now we're starting to focus on Japan again. That of course is because light monetary policy, loose monetary policy is probably coming. And that means yen printing in colloquial terms, we had broken above the 151 yen level an area that I had talked about for a while, and we've turned around to show signs of life, all things being equal.

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I am Still Very Bullish Long-Term

This is a market that I think continues to go much higher. But what I'm worried about is the massive stop loss you may have to take into account in order to protect against this gap getting filled because gaps typically get filled eventually. That being said, we have gapped basically 130. Well, we gapped to open up right around 70 pips and then we're up about 130 at this point.

So, all things being equal, this is a market that I think remains by on the dips, but I was hoping to get a little bit more of a dip than we got on Friday, to be honest with you. Longer term, we go higher. I just don't see how that changes. I've been saying that for a while from somewhere around here in July, I think, and I've been buying dips and collecting swap. The gap, of course, is a completely different animal that you have to deal with, but it's still the same strategy. You just look for cheaper dollars if you get that opportunity.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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