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GBP/USD Forecast: Hovers near 50-day EMA

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The British pound has gone back and forth during the trading session here on Monday as we continue to hover around the 50 day EMA.
  • The 50 day EMA is an indicator of that has multiple times been important as both support and resistance in this pair.
  • I would expect that to continue to be the case. It's interesting that we're forming a shooting star ahead of CPI, the consumer price index coming out on Tuesday.

Perhaps the market is a bit worried that inflation in the United States may be sticky. If it is, that could put downward pressure on this market, perhaps sending the British pound down to the 1.3250 level, an area that has been important more than once in this pair.

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GBP/USD Forecast Today 12/08: Hovers near 50-day EMA (graph)

On the other hand, if we break above the top of the candlestick and CPI comes out cooler than anticipated, maybe traders will be looking for a move to the 1.3550 level. think all things being equal, this is a market that we need to be very cautious with. But I would point out that in general, the market will continue to see a lot of volatility.

If you remember the British pound for quite some time had outperformed other currencies against the U.S. dollar, even when it was falling. So, I think if this market starts to fall apart, that's going to be a very bad sign for other currencies against the U.S. Ultimately, if we do rally from here, then I think the 1.3550 level is going to be very difficult to overcome. But if we can get above the 1.36 level then we could go much higher. All things being equal though, it is worth noting that the US dollar is at least starting to fight back.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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