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EUR/USD Forecast: Grinds Higher but Faces Resistance

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • The Euro has initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday, but gave back some of the gains as you can see.
  • And it looks to me like a market that is probably trying to sort itself out as to whether or not we can continue to go higher.
  • I think more likely than not, what we are going to see is a situation where traders look to establish some type of range.

I do think that the range could be between 1.12 and 1.15, but that of course remains to be seen. We'll just have to wait to see how that plays out. I certainly think that it’s hard to short this pair, although the US dollar is most certainly oversold. This is true not only here, but many other currency pairs as well.

EUR/USD Forecast Today 25/04: Faces Resistance (graph)

Noise Would be Expected Here

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The reality is this is a market that will continue to be very noisy and front and center in the sense that the trade talks between the United States and Europe haven't progressed yet. If and when they do, it'll be interesting to see how that plays out here, mainly due to the fact that Germany is pulling out of a recession and there is talk at least of the United States heading into one. So interesting days we live in right now.

I think ultimately you have a situation where traders will look at this through the prism of perhaps trying to take advantage of a range in the short term. But if we were to break down below the 1.12 level, that could change a lot of things for a lot of people. We'll just have to wait and see. I'm pretty neutral at the moment. I do think that we've got some work to do. If nothing else, we've got to work off some of this excess fraud.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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