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Gold Analysis: Eyes $3,000 Amid US Dollar Weakness

By Mahmoud Abdallah
Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of trading for his audience.
  • Investors increased their demand for gold bullion for hedging and amid uncertainty, and gold is one of the most important safe havens.
  • Consequently, spot gold prices moved to the resistance level of $2927 per ounce, recovering in recent trading sessions from profit-taking sell-offs that pushed it towards the support level of $2833 per ounce, at which point we recommended considering buying gold again.

Gold Analysis Today 05/03: Eyes $3,000 (Chart)

Will gold prices rise in the coming days?

According to gold trading companies' platforms, the gold price index has recently risen after the United States imposed tariffs on major trading partners and sparked a global flight to safety. US President Trump had followed through on his previous pledges and imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and 20% on China, sparking retaliatory responses from all global economies, while confirming plans to impose tariffs on the European Union and raise tariffs on agricultural exports.

Overall, the measures added to growth concerns after a series of downbeat economic data, including a drop in new orders from the ISM manufacturing PMI and an unexpected contraction in services reflected by S&P Global, both attributed to trade war fears. Meanwhile, demand for safety was also curbed by geopolitical risks with the US decision to withhold aid to Ukraine and reports of sanctions on Russia beginning to ease, deepening the divide between them and their Western allies and the previous consensus on NATO support for Ukraine.

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Will gold hit $3,000 soon?

There is no doubt that the imposition of US tariffs has increased investors' concerns and increased the volatility of financial markets led by the US markets on Wall Street. Thus, traders rushed to safe haven assets (gold is one of the most important safe havens). In general, gold prices had weakened before March, but they have recovered since then and are finally looking to claim the long-awaited $ 3,000 threshold. During the year 2025, gold prices rose by more than 11%. Silver prices also rose by the same percentage.

Trading Tips:

Aways trade gold and be sure to follow the factors affecting the market to come out with the best trading opportunities, but do not take risks no matter how strong the levels are.

Impact of Tariffs on the US Economy

In this regard, the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank's GDP model already expects a 2.8% contraction in the economy in the first quarter. Others are concerned about the impact these efforts will have on consumer sentiment and whether the optimistic American consumer in the past few years will now sit at home. Meanwhile, investors are now optimistic that the Federal Reserve will resume its rate-cutting cycle and continue to cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the US central bank is ready to go ahead with a quarter-point cut as early as May.

Consequently, this will be bullish for gold as it will lower the alternative cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

In another area that affects the gold market, US Treasury yields are heading lower, according to trading, the yield on the US 10-year note fell by 2.1 basis points to 4.159%. The yield on the two-year note fell by 7.2 basis points to 3.908% and the yield on the 30-year note was little changed at 4.47%. However, investors will wait for the US jobs report on Friday to determine the next course of action for the monetary authorities. Furthermore, expectations indicate that the US economy may succeed in adding 150,000 new jobs last month and the unemployment rate will remain stable at 4%.

As for the expected gold prices, JP Morgan Chase expects gold to close above $3,000 by the fourth quarter.

Gold Price Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:

According to trading via the daily chart and the expectations of gold analysts, the strength of the upward trend in gold prices has returned with stability around and above the resistance of $2,900 per ounce, which in turn will increase technical gold purchase deals and thus prepare for stronger upward breaches. The next historical resistance of $3,000 per ounce will remain the next target. The continued decline of the US dollar and the increase in global geopolitical and trade tensions, in addition to the increase in global central banks' purchases of gold, will help achieve this. Currently, the closest support levels for gold prices are $2,900, $2,878 and $2,858 per ounce, respectively.

Ready to trade our Gold price forecast? We’ve made a list of the best Gold trading platforms worth trading with.

Mahmoud Abdallah
Mahmoud has been working fulltime in the Foreign Exchange markets for 12 years. Offers his analysis, articles and recommendations at the most renewed Arabic websites specialized in the global financial markets, and his experience gained a lot of interest among Arab traders. Works on providing technical analysis, market news, free signals and more with follow up for at least 12 hours a day, and aims to simplify forex trading and the concept of trading for his audience.

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