- During the Wednesday session, we saw the S&P 500 rally rather significantly, as market participants continue to pay close attention to the inflationary issues in the United States.
- At this point, it’s worth noting that, month over month, the CPI number was 0.23%, instead of the expected 0.3%. While not a huge difference, it does at least suggest that perhaps things are cooling off a little bit.
The Federal Reserve is still light years away from cutting rates, so I think the case may be that the market will have to just get used to the idea of taking advantage of a stronger economy, and not necessarily lower rates. Since the Great Financial Crisis, Wall Street has essentially been addicted to cheap money, and now they have no idea what to do with themselves. Anybody who invested in the 1980s would recognize what we are going through, but most traders on Wall Street have shown up in the last 10 to 12 years, so they have no idea what to do.
Technical Analysis
As things stand right now, I’m not necessarily bearish on the S&P 500, I think what we have here is a situation where traders are simply killing time after a huge run earlier last year. With this being the case, I think you have to assume that sooner or later the market will do everything it can to find a reason to go higher, but we also have to work off some of that excess froth.
As things stand right now, the 5800 level is the short-term support, as seen on Monday after we ended up forming a nice hammer in that area. The 6000 level above is significant resistance, both from a psychological and a structural standpoint. If we can break above there, then it’s very likely that the S&P 500 will continue to go higher over the longer term. However, I’m not necessarily thinking that it’s going to be as easy as that. I anticipate a lot of volatility and choppiness at this point.Top Regulated Brokers
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