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EUR/USD Forecast: Euro Drops Amid USD Strength

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • As you can see, the Euro initially did rally against the US dollar during the trading session on Thursday, but it has been slapped right back down.
  • I think it's probably only a matter of time before the Euro drops down to the parity level, possibly lower than that, because there is really nothing good about the European Union at the moment.
  • In fact, I think there are some serious structural issues that will come to the forefront of attention soon.

EU is a Mess

We have countries, parliaments, governments collapsing, we have the US dollar strengthening anyways. And then we have a situation where interest rates in America continue to go to the upside. In America, while in Europe, the ECB is likely to continue to see a lot of reasons to put interest rates going forward. So that makes the US dollar much more attractive. Furthermore, the US economy is infinitely stronger than most of the European economies.

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While We Are at Low Levels…

EUR/USD Forecast Today 20/12: Drops Amid USD Strength (graph)

So, all things being equal, we are at an extraordinarily low level. But I think we will go lower. This is a market that I short every time we get a little bit of a bounce for short term trades, mainly due to the time of year, the market will face some liquidity issues over the next couple of weeks. And there could be a nice rally due to short covering as we had into New Year's Day. But that should be thought of as a potential opportunity. It's really not until we break above the 1.0650 level that I would consider going long. That's three full handles from here. And even then, I would be a bit cautious. I think rallies are to be squashed just like we've seen during the trading session on Thursday.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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