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Gold Forecast: Faces Resistance

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • Gold initially rallied during the trading session on Friday as the jobs numbers came out at adding just 12,000 for the previous month in the United States.
  • That being said, the market has given back quite a bit of those gains.
  • I think at this point in time, you've got to look at this through the prism of a market that may just be a little overdone.

A Pullback Coming?

The fact that we gave up the gains and rolled over suggests that perhaps we could drop towards the $2,700 level. The $2,700 level should see a significant amount of support, but breaking down below there then opens up the possibility of a drop all the way down to the 50-day EMA. As long as we stay above the $2,600 level, I am a buyer of dips, and I will be looking for value in the gold market.

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All things being equal, this is a situation where you just can't short gold despite the fact that it looks very weak in the short term. I think at this point in time, you saw plenty of geopolitical issues out there that could drive gold higher as the Middle East is still basically on fire. And then of course, we have the hot war in Ukraine and there's almost unlimited tension going on.

Gold Forecast Today 04/11: Faces Resistance (graph)

Beyond that, we have central banks around the world cutting rates. And then we have, of course, the overall technical analysis, which is very strong. And I do believe that the simple momentum play here is starting to come into the picture. Tuesday has the US elections. And that, of course, could cause a little bit of volatility as well. Either way, I'm looking to pick up little bits and pieces every time we pull back in order to take advantage of cheap gold ounces, and of course this is a situation where we are looking for value.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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