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BTC/USD Forecast: Shows Hesitation on the Upside

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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  • Bitcoin initially did try to rally a bit during the early hours on Monday, but it appears that the $67,000 level held its market memory and offered resistance.
  • At this point, we then started falling towards the $65,000 level, which so far at least has held as support.

Bitcoin Looks Heavy

That being said, it certainly looks as if we are starting to see the Bitcoin market look a little heavy. And if that's going to be the case, we could very well see a significant pullback, maybe towards the $60,000 level, where we have seen a lot of buying pressure previously. If that does end up being the case, it doesn't really change the technical analysis too much because...

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Since we had that 92% gain in six weeks, the market has bounced around between $60,000 on the bottom and $73,000 on the top. In other words, we may just end up looking for the bottom of the range again. It'll be interesting to see how this plays out because Bitcoin has been suspiciously non-enthusiastic after the ETF announcement and the initial surge into it via Wall Street. The question is, are they going to leave people holding the bags? I mean, that's the job of Wall Street, is to sell you stocks before they fall. That might be what just happened.

BTC/USD Forecast Today 18/6: Shows Hesitation (graph)

Now, that doesn't necessarily mean that Bitcoin over the longer term can't rally, but we may get a nasty and deep correction if we drop below the $58,000 level. We just narrowly avoided that about six weeks ago, so it's something to keep in the back of your mind, although admittedly, it's not an immediate threat right now. I would expect a lot of choppy behavior, and as things stand right now, I am looking to buy on dips. The question is, do I buy it at $65,000 or does it break down and has me buying closer to say $60,000? That remains to be seen.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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