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GBP/CHF Forecast: Trying to Breakout

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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  • The British pound continues to grind higher against the Swiss Franc, but we did run into a little bit of resistance above.
  • All things being equal, the market does look like it is trying to break out from a longer term standpoint, but we might be a little overextended in the short term.
  • It would just end up being a buying opportunity on a dip that I think most traders would welcome.

The 1.15 level of course is an area that's been important more than once. I think that probably continues to be an area of interest one way or the other. After this breakout, I would anticipate that the British pound could go looking to the 1.20 level above, especially as the interest rate differential will continue to be a major driver of where we go next.

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The Swiss national bank has recently cut rates and the Bank of England doesn't seem to be getting close to it or at least not that close to it at this point. With this I think it makes a lot of sense that this pair continues to go higher so I certainly would not short this market. Granted, I do think that we probably get a short term pullback but that should end up being an opportunity that a lot of people will be looking towards. Underneath we have the 50 day EMA offering support as well and then of course the 1.13 level is a massive support level.

This is still one of my favorite pairs

GBP/CHF Forecast Today 21/5: Trying to Breakout (graph)

In general, I think the GBP/CHF pair continues to be one of the better performers out there, as I have been short the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen against a multitude of currencies. And this one, of course, is one of them that I presently am long of. Ultimately, it would take a lot of negativity out there for me to envision some type of major selloff in this pair, so at this point I continue to favor the upside.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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