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Silver Forecast: Sees Momentum to the Upside, But Also Sees Questions

It's important to note that the intention to short silver in the foreseeable future is not advisable, given the prevailing market dynamics.

  • Silver experienced a modest rally during Tuesday's trading session, reaching the pivotal $24 level. This level garners significant attention due to its large, round, and psychologically important nature.
  • It has historically served as both a point of interest and resistance, with instances of successful breakthroughs.
  • The potential for further upside momentum in silver becomes more apparent if the price can breach the $24.25 level. However, it's crucial to bear in mind that the market carries a collective memory, and the substantial selling pressure encountered around the $26 level looms as a factor that could influence market sentiment.

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    Buying on the Dips

    Notably, the market appears to offer buying opportunities with each dip, with investors eager to acquire what they perceive as "affordable silver." It's imperative to acknowledge silver's sensitivity to the interest rate dynamics in the bond markets, particularly in the United States. The 10-year yield is closely monitored by many, and if these yields continue to decline, silver is likely to sustain its upward momentum. This trend emerges from traders seeking to preserve wealth in response to lower interest rates, which diminish the appeal of bonds and bolster the attractiveness of precious metals.

    In addition to these financial considerations, silver's industrial demand remains a focal point, driven in part by the emergence of "green technology" demands. The market's appeal also stems from its broader industrial applications. Overall, this market appears conducive to a strategy of seeking buying opportunities during dips, with the 200-Day EMA serving as a reliable support level, preceded by the 50-Day EMA. All things considered; this is a market that will have several areas under that could get into the picture as well.

    It's important to note that the intention to short silver in the foreseeable future is not advisable, given the prevailing market dynamics. However, it is prudent to exercise caution as we enter the holiday season, as the expected decrease in liquidity can contribute to heightened volatility. Navigating these market conditions requires a judicious approach to risk management to mitigate potential surprises. The market will continue to be very difficult, but in the end, the yields in America will have a major impact on the silver markets. The negative correlation will be a major mover in this market, and therefore you will have to keep an eye on both charts, the 10-year yield and the silver markets.

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    Christopher Lewis
    About Christopher Lewis

    Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

     

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