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Silver Forecast: Clings to 200-Day EMA Amidst Volatility and Geopolitical Tensions

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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Ultimately, silver's journey is marked by volatility and geopolitical tensions.

  • The silver market showcased a back-and-forth pattern during Tuesday's trading session, hovering just above the crucial 200-Day Exponential Moving Average.
  • The 200-Day EMA's significance commands the attention of numerous traders, inevitably injecting a dose of volatility into this region.
  • Adding to the intrigue is the market's position at the summit of a bullish flag pattern, a formation that garners widespread interest.
  • Should we manage to break above the high of the shooting star pattern from Monday's session, it could set the stage for an upward move towards the $24 level.

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Surpassing the $24 level opens the door to a potential advance towards the $25.50 mark, a substantial peak that has been revisited on several occasions in the past. Notably, the "measured move" derived from the bullish flag formation suggests that this target could be well within reach. Moreover, the presence of the 50-Day EMA in close proximity to the 200-Day EMA enhances the likelihood of continued buying opportunities amid short-term pullbacks.

In the grand scheme of things, the silver market continues to pay attention to developments in interest rates and the performance of the U.S. dollar. However, the prevailing driver of market sentiment at this juncture is the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Silver has become a sanctuary for investors seeking a safe haven, an irony considering its inherent volatility. Precious metals tend to be hoarded during times of uncertainty, and it appears that silver is currently trading more as a store of wealth than as an industrial commodity.

Looking to Buy on the Dips

It's important to bear in mind that industrial demand for silver continues to underpin the market's dynamics, a factor that will regain prominence in due course. Nevertheless, for the moment, silver is serving as a refuge for those seeking wealth preservation. In light of this, the prevailing strategy remains buying on dips, as investors look to secure their assets in the face of global uncertainties.

Ultimately, silver's journey is marked by volatility and geopolitical tensions. The 200-day EMA and the bullish flag pattern are key technical elements driving market sentiment. While interest rates and the U.S. dollar play a role, the Middle East conflict has become the primary catalyst for silver's current performance. As silver continues to be sought as a haven, investors are likely to remain inclined to buy on the dip in the short term.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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