Start Trading Now Get Started

S&P 500 Forecast: Wall Street Dances Around Earnings

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

Read more

Ultimately, the S&P 500 exhibited early strength in Tuesday's trading session amidst ongoing market volatility.

  • The S&P 500 exhibited early signs of strength in Tuesday's trading session, but it did so amidst ongoing market volatility.
  • It's essential to take note of the peculiar candlestick formation from the prior Monday's session—a doji, indicative of market indecision.

Top Regulated Brokers

1
Get Started 74% of retail CFD accounts lose money Read Review

An important technical indicator, the 200-day EMA, hovers above, drawing the attention of many market participants. If the S&P 500 manages to breach this level, it's highly likely that the market will set its sights on the 50-day EMA as the next target.

Conversely, a downward break below the low of the Monday session's candlestick could trigger a significant sell-off, potentially driving the index down to the 4200 level. Beyond that lies the 61.8% Fibonacci level, a key indicator closely monitored by technical traders. A breach below this level could prompt a wave of selling pressure, resulting in what's often referred to as "FOMO trading."

Should the index successfully surpass the 200-day EMA, a short-term recovery might be in the cards. This would likely attract more market participants, bolstering sentiment. However, it's important to acknowledge that the S&P 500 is currently characterized by a high degree of noise. This noise is exacerbated by the ongoing earnings season in New York, which wields a substantial influence over market dynamics. In essence, the market is navigating a day-to-day situation, making it challenging to establish substantial positions.

A Day-to-day Approach is Advisable

It's crucial to recognize that the market has been caught in a downward drift for a notable period. Consequently, rallies have been relatively constrained. A substantial move higher is contingent upon breaking above the 50-day EMA. In such a scenario, the market would adopt a significantly bullish stance, potentially paving the way for a climb to recent highs. While this isn't necessarily anticipated, it remains a plausible outcome.

Ultimately, the S&P 500 exhibited early strength in Tuesday's trading session amidst ongoing market volatility. The 200-day EMA stands as a significant technical indicator, and its breach could set the stage for a rally to the 50-day EMA. Conversely, a downward break may precipitate a sell-off, with the 4200 level and the 61.8% Fibonacci level serving as critical support zones. Given the current market noise and the influence of the earnings season, a day-to-day approach is advisable, with substantial positions requiring careful consideration. The potential for a more substantial rally hinges on a break above the 50-day EMA, offering a brighter outlook for the market's future.

S&P 500

Ready to trade our S&P 500 analysis? Here’s a list of some of the best CFD trading brokers to check out.

Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

Most Visited Forex Broker Reviews