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Silver Forecast: Continues to Stabilize

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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In summation, the silver market's recent rebound comes on the heels of a sharp decline.

  • The silver market embarked on a rollercoaster ride during Wednesday's trading session, leaving traders and investors on edge.
  • Initially, it experienced a sharp dip, only to mount a significant comeback just before American traders entered the scene.
  • This turnaround is a clear indicator that some traders chose to cash in on their profits, a sensible move given the recent pessimism surrounding the market.
  • It serves as a poignant reminder that financial markets seldom follow a single trajectory, and a rebound from these levels is entirely normal. This is going to set up an opportunity going forward.

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However, exercising caution is paramount when navigating this market. Presently, silver may not present the most enticing buying opportunity. If you have been paying attention and shorted this market, now might be an opportune moment to contemplate closing those positions. For those considering entry into the market in hopes of a potential recovery, prudence dictates careful consideration of position sizing.

A cursory examination of the market chart reveals its stretched position. However, this overextension should not be misconstrued as a fundamental transformation in market dynamics. Silver's performance is intricately tied to risk appetite and interest rates, both of which have generated apprehension. The $22.50 level has previously functioned as significant support, and the echoes of this "market memory" could reverberate in future price movements. It is crucial to monitor any indications of resistance near this level.

There Could be a Sharp Decline

At present, it appears that the silver market is laying the groundwork for a "fade the rally" scenario, assuming it even manages to reach the $22.50 threshold. Should the market breach the recent low, it would signal a bearish stance, potentially eroding essential support levels. In such a scenario, a descent toward the psychologically significant $20 level becomes plausible, attracting traders seeking a favorable entry point.

In summation, the silver market's recent rebound comes on the heels of a sharp decline. While the resurgence is evident, prudence should guide any considerations of entering the market. Its current overextension and susceptibility to factors like risk appetite and interest rates persist. While the $22.50 level merits close attention, the prevailing sentiment leans towards adopting a "fade the rally" approach, assuming the market even reaches that juncture. Should support levels falter, a path toward $20 may be in the offing, beckoning traders in search of value.

Silver

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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