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NASDAQ 100 Forecast: Recovers to Kick Off the Trading Week

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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It’s the bottom of the overall downtrend channel that we have seen for some time, and I think that continues to be an area of importance.

  • The NASDAQ 100 initially fell during the overnight trading but turned around to show signs of resiliency during the trading session on Monday.
  • The market is likely to continue to see a lot of downward pressure in general, as we have a lot of concerns out there that will continue to make the trading environment very difficult.
  • I think it’s probably only a matter of time before we see the sellers come back into the market. Ultimately, the market is looking at the 14,600 level as an area of importance, so I think it makes a certain amount of sense that we bounce from here.
  • However, we are during earnings season, and there will be plenty of concerns when it comes to the earnings season, and of course, what’s going on with the global economy.

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It’s particularly interesting now that we have the major technology companies coming around the corner for earnings, so I would anticipate a lot of volatility. If we break down below the lows of the trading session on Monday, then it could go down to the 200-Day EMA. It’s the bottom of the overall downtrend channel that we have seen for some time, and I think that continues to be an area of importance.

Noise Ahead

On the other hand, if we turn around and take out the top of the candlestick for the trading session, then I think we have a situation where the NASDAQ 100 could go investigate the 50-Day EMA, near the 15,000 level which of course in and of itself will have a certain amount of psychology attached to it.

Because of this, I think this is a scenario where you have a lot of noisy behavior just waiting to happen, and therefore I think you’ve got a situation where we will continue to be very volatile, so you need to be very cautious about your position sizing and recognize that the market will continue to be very noisy and difficult, so be cautious, but recognize we are in the midst of a storm right now, and if we do rally from here, the 50-Day EMA will bring in a lot of noise and could even be a bit of a strong barrier. After that, we have the top of the overall downtrend channel near the 15,250 level.

NASDAQ 100

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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