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GBP/JPY Forecast: Recovers Amidst Bank of Japan Intervention

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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In the end, the British pound exhibited a rebound in Wednesday's trading session following the Bank of Japan's intervention.

  • In the wake of the Bank of Japan's intervention on Tuesday, the British pound demonstrated a notable resurgence during Wednesday's trading session. This rally reaffirms the significance of the ¥180 level, from which the pound is rebounding.
  • The market's dynamics currently hinge on this pivotal level, with implications for future price movements.
  • A breakdown below this level would shift the focus to the candlestick's bottom from the Tuesday session, potentially leading to a descent towards the 200-day Exponential Moving Average.

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The 50-day Exponential Moving Average acts as a notable resistance barrier. Should the pound successfully breach this level, it could open the path towards the ¥185 level. It's crucial to understand that this currency pair is characterized by its inherent volatility, which can pose challenges for traders. Given recent global economic uncertainties and fluctuations in interest rates, the pound's performance is under scrutiny. The United Kingdom faces its own economic issues, and the impending challenges within the European Union could potentially affect the UK's economic outlook. Consequently, the British pound's bullish prospects against the Japanese yen are relatively subdued compared to other currencies.

We Will Continue to See a lot of Issues

Nonetheless, the Bank of Japan continues to grapple with the concept of yield curve control, which may exert an influence on this market in the long run. While a breakdown below the Tuesday session's candlestick bottom would signify a negative shift, the current market conditions do not suggest an imminent move in that direction. Instead, it appears plausible that the market might consolidate and trade within a range until Friday. Investors are displaying a cautious attitude, seeking to mitigate risk and potentially close out positions amid the prevailing economic uncertainties.

In the end, the British pound exhibited a rebound in Wednesday's trading session following the Bank of Japan's intervention. The ¥180 level remains a focal point, with implications for future price movements. Resistance at the 50-day EMA presents a formidable barrier, and traders should expect continued volatility in this currency pair. While challenges persist for the UK economy, the Bank of Japan's policies could influence the pound's trajectory over time. As of now, the market seems poised to consolidate in the short term, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors in the face of global economic uncertainties. This pair is particularly sensitive to these risks now, and therefore we will continue to see a lot of issues.

GBP/JPY

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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