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Silver Forecast: Sees a lot of Noise

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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Regarding strategy, a gradual market entry is the approach I’m adopting, with plans to incrementally increase positions over subsequent sessions post-entry.

Silver is currently clinging to the support level at the base of the long-term consolidation area, persistently challenging the $22.50 zone. It’s crucial to remember that rising rates have been a dominant influence in the silver market recently, and there’s no indication of them halting their ascent anytime soon. However, silver enjoys a semblance of a safety net due to its industrial applications, unless the focus shifts to potential economic deceleration. Regardless, silver also serves as a wealth protection asset, offering a layer of security against economic uncertainties.

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Presently, the spotlight is on the escalating interest rates, which are undeniably casting a shadow on silver. A potential rally from this point could set the 200-day EMA as an interim target, and surpassing this could lead to more substantial gains. Breaking above the 200-day EMA could set the trajectory towards the top of the range, near the $25.50 mark.

Anticipate significant fluctuations, but it’s noteworthy that the range has maintained its integrity thus far. A breach below the support level could pave the way to the $22 mark, followed by a potential descent to the $20 level. Given silver’s inherent volatility, prudence in position sizing is paramount, especially amidst the prevailing myriad of conflicting currents, making holding substantial positions challenging.

Rate Hikes are Shaping the Market Dynamics

Regarding strategy, a gradual market entry is the approach I’m adopting, with plans to incrementally increase positions over subsequent sessions post-entry. Given the market’s poised stance for a more considerable move, being part of it is the goal, but initiating with a substantial position isn’t the plan.

In essence, the silver market is a realm of contrasts and uncertainties, balancing between support levels and inherent volatility. The ongoing rate hikes are shaping the market dynamics, with potential rallies and targets being closely monitored. The industrial utility of silver provides a cushion, but economic slowdown concerns and wealth protection roles add layers to market perceptions.

The current market scenario is a fight between support, volatility, and potential breakthroughs, with strategic, cautious participation being the key. The market is on the brink of significant movements, and being part of it, with calculated, incremental involvement, is the strategic pathway forward. Balancing caution with involvement is crucial in navigating the silver market, especially when it’s teetering on the edge of substantial shifts. If it breaks down – you must get out quickly.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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