Speculators of the USD/CAD need to brace for a volatile day ahead as inflation data from Canada, and U.S Retail Sales numbers are published in the same breath.
The USD/CAD is trading near the 1.34860 mark as of this writing. A high around the 1.35025 level was touched last Tuesday. Lows around 1.34400 were seen yesterday, but a push higher as financial houses brace for a stormy day ahead clearly has resistance levels now in focus. The USD/CAD has remained under last week’s high, but the USD/CAD did hit a low of almost 1.33700 on Thursday of last week and has climbed with volatile action upwards since then.
One Month Technical Chart Shows Bullish Momentum of USD/CAD
The climb higher in the USD/CAD since the middle of July has been pronounced, but the trajectory has also mirrored most other major currency pairs. While many financial institutions feel the U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to start becoming less aggressive over the near term, risk-adverse trading has taken hold of behavioral sentiment. Nervous buying of the USD/CAD has seen resistance levels proven vulnerable.
The 1.35000 level may prove to be a focal point for traders in the coming hours. The value was reached last week and challenged ratios last seen on the 1st of June. Today economic data from Canada and the U.S. are certain to cause fireworks in the USD/CAD, and traders should prepare for a wider price range to develop before, during, and immediately after the publication of the reports.
USD/CAD will Move on the Canadian Consumer Price Index and U.S Retail Sales Numbers
- Consumer Price Index numbers will come from Canada today and are expected to show a slight decline in inflation. If the numbers meet expectations the USD/CAD will still be volatile, however.
- U.S. retail Sales data will be released at the same time and an increase in buying is anticipated to be seen within the consumer-driven numbers.
- The USD/CAD is likely to face a storm of price movement in the coming hours.
Conservative traders may want to sit on the sidelines before the Canada and U.S. data is released today. The fact the USD/CAD is within sight of important psychological resistance near 1.35000 will factor into today’s trading. If the USD/CAD can sustain trading below this higher mark, particularly in the wake of the released economic data this could show financial institutions believe the USD/CAD is overbought and trigger selling.
However, dangerous possibilities abound, because a mixed result of inflation data from Canada and higher retail sales from the U.S. could spur on a momentarily stronger USD/CAD. Traders are advised to have stop loss orders working if they are using large amounts of leverage to bet today. The one-month bullish USD/CAD trend should be treated carefully by day traders with short-term ambitions.
Canadian Dollar Short-Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 1.34980
Current Support: 1.34650
High Target: 1.35250
Low Target: 1.34125
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