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AUD/USD Forecast: Trying to Turn it All Around

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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In summary, the trajectory of the Australian dollar offers intriguing shifts witnessed in recent trading activities.

  • The AUD/USD encountered a brief dip in Monday's trading session, only to swiftly recover shortly after.
  • Despite momentarily slipping below the 0.64 level, this minor setback was promptly offset by a subsequent upward trajectory, adding a fascinating dynamic to the ongoing situation.
  • Notably, the historical significance of the 0.64 level as a crucial support point lends credibility to the current turn of events.

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Just a bit further up the ladder, around the 0.65 mark, a potential obstacle comes into view. This level has previously proven its capacity to function as a reliable support. Even if the Australian dollar successfully surpasses this hurdle, it's prudent to recognize that additional challenges might await around the 0.66 threshold, potentially slowing the upward momentum.

Conversely, should the currency's value dip below the lowest point reached last Thursday, it could trigger a notable downward shift in the market. It's essential to bear in mind that the Australian dollar's performance tends to mirror shifts in risk appetite, global currency fluctuations, and demand for commodities. Given the multifaceted nature of these influences, it's advisable to exercise caution before making significant trading decisions, particularly considering the ongoing global volatility.

However, the Australian dollar could turn into an appealing investment prospect if favorable news emerges. Its valuation is intricately connected to the economic well-being of the Asian region and their demand for raw materials.

Be Cautious

Given recent developments, the market appears ripe for a potential boost, regardless of the broader circumstances. Consequently, it might be wise to exercise restraint with short positions for now, unless a substantial drop below the recent low materializes.

Taking a step back to gain a broader perspective, anticipate noticeable fluctuations in trading, akin to the patterns observed in recent months. Considering this, prudence in capital allocation is recommended. Recognize that impending challenges could potentially add complexity. Therefore, a cautious approach to leverage is advisable, given the inherent sensitivity of this currency pair.

In summary, the trajectory of the Australian dollar offers intriguing shifts witnessed in recent trading activities. The ongoing upward momentum adds an element of intrigue. However, it's crucial to remain attuned to historical support levels and potential barriers. Amid the market's twists and turns, exercising caution and incorporating broader market dynamics are essential for effectively navigating this constantly evolving currency landscape.

AUD/USD

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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