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Silver Forecast: Shows Signs of Consolidation

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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Silver experienced a slight pullback during Monday's trading session, hovering around the $25 level. This psychologically significant figure has played a key role in the market's recent movements. After a rapid ascent, a mild correction is to be expected. If silver is to continue its upward trajectory, a pullback may be necessary to attract more buyers. Last week, as weaker-than-anticipated inflation numbers emerged in the United States, silver saw a surge as traders sought wealth preservation amidst decreasing bond yields.

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Despite the recent pullback, the technical analysis suggests that a potential entry point lies around the $24.50 level, which served as recent resistance. Should the market break below this level, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average becomes a critical support level to monitor.

  • A breakout could propel silver towards the $26 level and potentially even the recent highs near $26.45 given sufficient time.
  • The performance of the US dollar should be closely observed, as the negative correlation between the two markets appears to be regaining prominence.
  • The US Dollar Index serves as a valuable secondary indicator for silver, warranting careful attention.

Only if silver breaks below the 200-Day EMA, which is currently near the $23.25 level, would shorting the market become a consideration. However, such a scenario seems unlikely in the near future. Consequently, the prevailing strategy in this market is to "buy on the dips." While a retest of the recent highs is anticipated, a short-term pullback might occur before reaching that point.

Silver has encountered a slight pullback, consolidating near the $25 level after a notable surge. The market is poised for a potential entry point around $24.50, which previously acted as resistance. Traders should closely monitor the 50-Day EMA as a critical support level. If a breakout occurs, silver could rally towards the $26 level and beyond. The US dollar's performance remains a significant factor, given its negative correlation with silver. Only a break below the 200-Day EMA would signal a potential shorting opportunity, which does not appear likely in the near term. Overall, the market outlook favors a "buy on the dips" strategy. While the retesting of recent highs is expected, a short-term pullback could precede that move.

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Silver

Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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