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Silver Forecast: Demonstrates Resilience Amidst Volatility

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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Silver markets initially experienced a decline during Monday's trading session but witnessed a resurgence as buyers entered the market, propelling prices above the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average. This resilience indicates a potential "buy on the dips" scenario, highlighting the market's strong negative correlation to the US Dollar Index. If the US dollar weakens, it is expected that precious metals, including silver, will rally.

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Silver is currently trading between the 200-Day EMA below and the 50-Day EMA above, creating a somewhat squeezed range. Additionally, the market is hovering around the 50% Fibonacci level, a factor that attracts attention from longer-term traders. External influences from the gold market also impact silver, as both metals display signs of picking up momentum.

  • In the short term, the silver market is likely to experience volatile fluctuations. However, a crucial decision point awaits.
  • Once a clear direction is established, whether upward or downward, it is expected that the market will experience a significant movement.
  • Breaking above the 50-Day EMA would target the $24 level, while a breakdown below the recent swing low could threaten the $22 level.
  • A breach of $22 may trigger substantial selling pressure, potentially leading to a long-term decline towards the $20 level. Such a scenario would indicate a complete reversal of the overall trend and likely result in a stronger US dollar across multiple markets.

While a recovery attempt is more probable, it is essential to acknowledge that the path may be challenging, accompanied by significant volatility.

Silver markets showcased resilience after an initial decline during Monday's trading session. The presence of buyers lifted prices above the 200-Day EMA, suggesting a potential "buy on the dips" scenario. The market's negative correlation with the US Dollar Index indicates that silver is likely to rally if the US dollar weakens. Silver is currently range-bound between the 200-Day EMA and the 50-Day EMA, with the 50% Fibonacci level also influencing longer-term traders. External influences from the gold market further contribute to silver's dynamics. Short-term volatility is expected, but a significant decision point lies ahead. Breaking above the 50-Day EMA could lead to a target of $24, while a breakdown below the recent swing low might threaten the $22 level. A move below $22 would signify a major shift, potentially pushing silver towards the $20 level. While a recovery is likely, it will not be without challenges and substantial volatility along the way.

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Silver

Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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