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Natural Gas Forecast: Potential Breakout to $3.00 Level

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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Early on Monday, the natural gas markets exhibited limited movement as traders absorbed substantial gains achieved on Thursday. As conditions stabilize, there is a growing anticipation that prices could soon reach the significant $3.00 level. This psychologically important threshold is expected to garner considerable attention from investors and may serve as a trigger for a potential breakout. If this crucial level is breached, a surge of "fear of missing out (FOMO) trading" is likely, as traders rush to capitalize on evident bullish momentum.

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Support for natural gas prices lies below the market's current levels, specifically at the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average. This support has been pivotal in attracting buyers during price dips, contributing to the establishment of a longer-term bottom. Consequently, continued interest from buyers at these levels should not come as a surprise.

Considering the mounting pressure in the market, the likelihood of an upcoming breakout appears increasingly probable. With this outlook in mind, the idea of adding to existing positions may hold appeal. As the summer progresses, the market could witness a significant upward surge, influenced by various factors affecting supply and demand dynamics.

Given the seasonal play and the potential for a bullish breakout, shorting natural gas does not seem like a prudent strategy. While short-term traders might identify opportunities for gains within the range, patient investors stand a chance to profit considerably from a breakout. The anticipation of such a profitable move calls for a cautious and long-term approach to trading.

As an American trader, I personally prefer utilizing the ETF market for my natural gas positions. However, traders in other countries can leverage the CFD market, which offers greater flexibility in managing position sizes compared to futures contracts. As the precise timing of the market breakout remains uncertain, holding onto the trade for the longer term appears more sensible. The potential for doubling one's investment by fall is undeniably alluring, making natural gas an attractive asset to monitor in the coming months.

  • In the end, the natural gas markets are currently experiencing consolidation after substantial gains.
  • The $3.00 level holds critical importance and could act as a catalyst for a potential breakout, resulting in increased trading activity.
  • With support from the 50-Day EMA and a growing sense of market pressure, the prospect of higher prices in the future is likely.
  • Adopting a patient approach and preparing for the possibility of a profitable breakout may prove to be a wise strategy for investors interested in capitalizing on the natural gas market's promising potential.

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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