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AUD/USD Forecast: Strong and Indicating Potential for Further Gains

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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It is crucial to recognize that the Australian dollar is profoundly sensitive to global risk appetite and the performance of commodity markets.

The AUD/USD has demonstrated remarkable resilience in recent trading sessions, surging above the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average. The crucial level of 0.67, which previously posed as a resistance, has been convincingly breached, suggesting that the AUD is poised to ascend towards the upper end of its overall range, potentially reaching the 0.68 level. It is important to note that the 0.68 level has held significance on multiple occasions, and as such, we may encounter some selling pressure. However, a break above this level could signal a continued upward movement towards the 0.69 level.

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While a retracement from the current levels would be logical, the size of the recent candlestick indicates that such a pullback may not materialize easily. Consequently, there is a higher likelihood of the market attempting a substantial breakout. This prospect implies that the US dollar will continue to experience weakness in relation to the AUD.

Amidst the market's prevailing noise, those looking to purchase the Australian dollar may need to identify favorable entry points during pullbacks in order to find value. Given the recent extensive surge, a retracement would offer an opportunity for potential investors. It is crucial to recognize that the Australian dollar is profoundly sensitive to global risk appetite and the performance of commodity markets. As a result, ongoing volatility can be expected.

  • It is important to acknowledge that the market remains within its previous range, indicating that the broader dynamics have not changed significantly.
  • However, the substantial and impulsive nature of the recent candlestick suggests that there is a high probability of continued momentum.
  • This interpretation is based on the observation that market participants have swiftly moved in one direction.
  • Consequently, the burden of proof now rests on the US dollar, as other currencies have also exerted downward pressure on the greenback, indicating a market-wide reaction.

The Australian dollar has exhibited significant strength, breaking above the 50-Day EMA and the resistance level at 0.67. This development suggests that further upward movement towards the 0.68 and 0.69 levels is likely. While a retracement may be expected, the size of the recent candlestick indicates a potential breakout. Volatility remains a constant factor, influenced by global risk sentiment and commodity market performance. Investors seeking to capitalize on the AUD's strength should carefully identify value during pullbacks. Overall, the recent rally in the Australian dollar indicates a potential shift in the balance of power against the US dollar, with further gains on the horizon.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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