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Silver Forecast: Exhibits Volatility Still

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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The silver market is characterized by significant noise and volatility, underscoring the need for careful position sizing.

  • Silver showcased significant volatility during Friday's trading session, which continued into Monday's relatively thin trading conditions. The market is grappling with questions regarding the trajectory of interest rates and the potential impact of central bank decisions.
  • Given silver's inherent volatility, determining the strength or weakness of the US dollar further contributes to market fluctuations. Industrial demand is also a key factor influencing silver, as it is primarily an industrial metal.
  • This article delves into the current silver market dynamics, highlighting key levels and the importance of position sizing.

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Silver remains a highly volatile market, especially as investors assess the potential actions of central banks and their impact on interest rates. Uncertainty surrounds the Federal Reserve's tightening plans, and this uncertainty reverberates throughout the silver market. The interplay between interest rates, US dollar strength or weakness, and industrial demand creates a complex web of factors influencing silver's price movements.

Breaking above the recent highs would likely propel silver toward the $25 level, potentially surpassing this psychologically significant barrier. A further upside target could be the $26 level. On the other hand, a hammer formation on Wednesday indicated strong support just above the 200-Day EMA, highlighting the significance of the $23 region as a substantial support level. As long as we hang onto that, the markets still look bullish more than anything else, although it has to be said that choppiness continues to be a major factor.

Be Cautious

The silver market is characterized by significant noise and volatility, underscoring the need for careful position sizing. Investors and traders must exercise caution and prudence when allocating funds to this market. While the bullish sentiment is present due to a perception of more support than resistance at the moment, the inherent volatility makes it challenging to hold positions amid market swings.

Looking at the overall market, silver has experienced considerable volatility in recent trading sessions, with thin trading conditions on Monday contributing to the market's noise. Uncertainty surrounding interest rates, central bank decisions, and industrial demand weigh heavily on silver's performance. Breaking above recent highs could potentially propel silver towards the $25 level and beyond, while strong support lies around the $23 region. Given the market's inherent volatility, prudent position sizing is crucial for those considering investments in silver. Despite the volatility, a prevailing bullish sentiment persists, but investors should remain cautious and prepared for ongoing market swings.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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