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Oil Forecast: Facing Selling Pressure

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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If Brent were to break below the $70 level, it would likely test the $68 level, which represents the bottom of a substantial hammer formation from a few weeks ago when the market began its significant sell-off.

WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)

The WTI Crude Oil market witnessed a significant decline during Wednesday's trading session, as it continues to grapple with challenges. However, the market appears to be reaching oversold territory, suggesting the possibility of a short-term bounce. During the summer months, the market often trades within a range, making it crucial to monitor whether such a range is forming. From a longer-term perspective, the $65 level holds tremendous support, while the $80 level above acts as a major resistance point.

In general, the market continues to exhibit noisy behavior. However, the oversold conditions may prompt a temporary correction in the near term. It is important to note that this potential bounce is likely to be a trade rather than a sustained trend. If the market were to break down below the $65 level, it could trigger a substantial move to the downside.

WTI Crude Oil

Brent (UK Oil)

Similarly, the Brent market experienced a notable decline during Wednesday's trading session, testing the $72 level. The $70 level below is expected to provide significant support, having proven its importance on multiple occasions in the past. Additionally, it serves as a large, round, psychologically significant figure that attracts considerable attention from market participants. Consequently, a reaction in the market is likely in that area.

If Brent were to break below the $70 level, it would likely test the $68 level, which represents the bottom of a substantial hammer formation from a few weeks ago when the market began its significant sell-off. Any move below that level would result in further downward momentum. However, it is more probable that the market will experience a bounce and potentially attempt to reclaim the $75 level, which is likely to generate significant interest among traders.

At the end of the day, crude oil markets, both WTI Crude Oil and Brent, faced selling pressure during Wednesday's trading session. WTI Crude Oil may see a short-term bounce as it reaches oversold conditions, while the $65 level remains a critical long-term support level. For Brent, the $70 level is anticipated to act as significant support, with the potential for a temporary bounce towards the $75 level. However, it is crucial to closely monitor market developments and keep an eye on your position size, and of course money management in this choppy overall environment.

Brent Crude Oil

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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