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GBP/USD Forecast: Continues to Look Like a “Buy on the Dip” Scenario

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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Overall, the British pound market is likely to continue experiencing volatility, which is a characteristic shared by many currency pairs at present.

  • The GBP/USD began Thursday's trading session with an initial pullback, testing the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
  • However, the currency quickly reversed its course, showing signs of renewed strength and indicating a potential move towards the 1.2550 level.
  • It is worth noting that this level presents significant resistance despite having been previously broken. While short-term pullbacks may offer buying opportunities, a breakout is not expected to occur soon.

Beneath the current levels, the 1.2350 level is expected to provide a substantial amount of support. This area is reinforced by an uptrend line in proximity and represents the range between the 200-Day EMA below and the 50-Day EMA above. Given the confluence of factors in this area, it is anticipated that a lot of volatile behavior will occur. However, it is expected that buyers will eventually reenter the market in this zone. It is important to note that if the market breaks below the 200-Day EMA, it could result in a drop toward the significant support level of 1.1850.

The Market is Expected to Remain Volatile

Overall, the British pound market is likely to continue experiencing volatility, which is a characteristic shared by many currency pairs at present. This suggests that both buyers and sellers will become more aggressive over time. At present, there appears to be more buying pressure than selling pressure, especially as the Bank of England continues to combat major inflation. As a result, it is unlikely that we will see a significant decline in the British pound unless there is a substantial surge in the US dollar. It is worth noting that the British pound has outperformed the greenback in recent times, indicating that buyers are likely to return during short-term dips. However, whether a breakout will occur remains uncertain.

In conclusion, the British pound initially pulled back during Thursday's trading session but swiftly demonstrated signs of resilience. The currency may target the 1.2550 level, although substantial resistance is expected at that level. Short-term pullbacks may present opportunities for buyers. The 1.2350 level is anticipated to provide a significant level of support, although breaking below the 200-Day EMA could lead to a decline toward 1.1850. The British pound market is expected to remain volatile, and the fragile balance between buyers and sellers will shape its future trajectory.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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