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Silver Forecast: Continues to See Support Despite the Pullback

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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The market's ability to break out of its current range remains uncertain, but the overall sentiment remains bullish, despite the poor candlestick formation on Thursday.

  • Silver experienced a significant decline during Thursday's trading session, dropping below the $25 level, a notable psychological level.
  • It is reasonable to expect buyers to enter the market at this point. However, even if the price falls below $25, there is potential for a further decline toward the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around the $24 level.
  • Nevertheless, substantial support exists beneath the current price, and it is likely only a matter of time before buyers regain momentum.

On the upside, the $26.50 level has acted as a resistance barrier and could mark the top of a consolidation range that is forming. The presence of a bullish pennant pattern on the chart suggests continued respect for this pattern, at least for now. Should a reversal occur, the measured move of the breakout would target the $31 level, although it is premature to make such predictions.

Silver has exhibited a strong bullish trend for some time, making it unsurprising to witness buyers returning to the market around current levels. The market's ability to break out of its current range remains uncertain, but the overall sentiment remains bullish, despite the poor candlestick formation on Thursday.

Buyers are Likely to Enter the Market Around the $25 Level

It is worth considering the negative correlation between the US Dollar Index and silver, as this relationship often comes into play. Additionally, the influence of the US dollar on future market movements should not be overlooked. Given the expected volatility, it is prudent to maintain a reasonable position size. Silver is known for its noise and volatility, and traders should expect similar conditions going forward.

Only when the market breaks below the $23.50 level would I be comfortable considering selling opportunities? However, we are currently far from that level, reinforcing the notion of approaching the market as a "buy on the dip" scenario.

In conclusion, silver faced a significant decline during Thursday's trading session, reaching the $25 level. Buyers are likely to enter the market around this psychological level, and if the price drops further, the 50-Day EMA could provide support. The $26.50 level acts as resistance, potentially marking the top of a consolidation range. While the overall sentiment remains bullish, the market's ability to break out of the range is uncertain. Traders should consider the negative correlation with the US Dollar Index and exercise caution given the expected volatility. Selling opportunities would be more viable if the market breaks below the $23.50 level. For now, the market is seen as a "buy on the dip" opportunity.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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