Gold Forecast: Market Sees Negative Break Below Key Level

It is advisable to exercise caution and wait for the market to provide clear signals of a turnaround before considering buying gold. 

  • Gold markets experienced a decline during Thursday's trading session, breaking below the crucial 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
  • This development suggests a bearish sentiment, raising the possibility of gold searching for support near the $1950 level.
  • Notably, this area represents a gap in the futures market, which has yet to be filled, and its influence extends to both futures and spot markets.

A further breakdown below the $1950 level would open the potential for gold to drop toward the $1900 level. The $1900 level is bolstered by the 200-Day EMA, making it a logical candidate to act as a support level. Technical traders often closely follow the 200-Day EMA, resulting in increased technical and psychological significance at this level.

Conversely, if the market reverses its downward momentum and surpasses the 50-Day EMA, attention will shift toward the $2000 level. A breakthrough above that level could initiate a larger upward move, potentially indicating a resumption of the bullish trend. However, it is worth noting that the US dollar shows signs of strength, which could exert pressure on the gold market as profit-taking occurs following a substantial upward move.

Despite short-term noise, it is important to recognize the significant demand for wealth preservation, which tends to support the gold market. Any price pullback will likely attract attention from investors seeking to safeguard their assets. However, if the US dollar continues to strengthen significantly, it could act as a deterrent for gold market bulls. As a result, the market may exhibit volatile behavior in the near term.

Be Cautious

It is advisable to exercise caution and wait for the market to provide clear signals of a turnaround before considering buying gold. Attempting to anticipate a reversal prematurely can lead to costly mistakes and potential damage to one's trading account. Patience is key, as value hunters will likely reenter the market once the appropriate conditions emerge. Paying close attention to market dynamics and waiting for confirmation is crucial to making informed investment decisions.

At the end of the day, the gold market experienced a negative break below the 50-Day EMA, indicating a bearish sentiment. Potential support levels to monitor include the $1950 and, subsequently, the $1900 level, backed by the 200-Day EMA. Upside potential lies in breaking above the 50-Day EMA and targeting the $2000 level. The US dollar's strength may influence market dynamics, but the demand for wealth preservation is expected to provide support over time. Caution and patience are essential when trading this market as it can be erratic.


Ready to trade our Gold price forecast? We’ve made a list of the best Gold trading platforms worth trading with.

Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.