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GBP/USD Forecast: Continues to Press Higher Inside Consolidation

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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There are numerous factors to consider that could impact on the currency's future.

The GBP/USD has been exhibiting choppy and sideways behavior during Friday's trading session, as the market continues to experience back-and-forth movements. The area between the 1.24 and 1.25 levels has been a challenging resistance to breakthrough, and traders are uncertain if the currency will continue to rise over the long term.

There are numerous factors to consider that could impact on the currency's future. Many traders are hopeful that the Federal Reserve will provide relief, and this expectation has influenced the currency markets. The US dollar has been exhibiting negativity, suggesting that traders are still anticipating cheap money, which has been the monetary policy for some time. The Federal Reserve's recent tightening has already begun to slow down the economy, but traders may be surprised by the central bank's decisions going forward.

The 50-Day EMA, which indicates the 50-day exponential moving average of the currency pair, currently sits beneath the 1.23 level and is starting to rise. Ultimately, the market must decide whether the US dollar will relinquish its hold on the market, allowing the British pound to rise to levels such as 1.2650 and 1.2750. On the other hand, if the currency pair breaks down below the 50-Day EMA, it may reach the 200-Day EMA, which is near the 1.22 level and is also on the rise. A further decline could potentially shift the trend, but this scenario is a long way off, and traders need not worry about it for now.

The Market is Facing Uncertainty

  • The market is currently experiencing a period of uncertainty, and traders are closely monitoring the resistance level between 1.24 and 1.25.
  • The currency pair's behavior may depend on a variety of factors, including the Federal Reserve's future policies, the US dollar's performance, and other economic indicators.
  • As such, investors should exercise caution and remain alert for any changes in the market. Having said all of that, late Friday saw a move above the 1.25 level, but if it can hold remains to be seen.

While traders hope for relief from the Federal Reserve, it's impossible to predict what the future holds for the currency markets. The British pound may experience more volatility in the coming days, and it may be difficult to forecast the currency's movements accurately. As always, traders should focus on risk management as there are a lot of moving pieces now.

GBP/USD

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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